Florida Recap

After a momentum gaining win in South Carolina, John McCain has won the Florida GOP primary by a good 5% over Mitt Romney. As expected after declining in the polls, Rudy Gulliani drops out and endorses winner John McCain. A win in Florida was Rudy’s onluy chance since he didn’t campaign in the first few states. McCain now seems to be able to reach out to some more and more conservatives. This may be because he seems to be the candidate with the best chance of winning against the Democrats.
McCain strong stance on Iraq and the environment is what I like about him. He has experince in both the House and Senate, and more importantly military experience. He also seems to be more likely to appoint a more bypartisan Cabinet during Presidency. And he is more of a leader than Romney was as a businessman.
Next week Super Tuesday will be an interesting night to see who can win the nominatins in both parties.

The Palmetto Vote 2

The last Democratic primary till Super Tuesday. It seems likely that this could be a stepping for the candidates in the south. The latest polls show Barack Obama in the lead for the past month, so this should be a close one. My question is that how much John Edwards is a factor in this election? Does he take substaintial amount of votes for Hillary? I see him or Joe Biden as the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate. Don’t be suprised if a candidate makes a visit to Florida over the weekend.

The Vegas Caucus, Palmetto Vote

As of 2:00 P.M., it looks like Mitt Romney is going to win his third state in the GOP primaries. He will take momentum going into Florida and Super Tuesday. As for the South Carolina primary, it is any one’s game right now. Romney may get some late voters to go in after seeing his Nevada win. Look for a possible four-way split between Romney, McCain, Huckabee, and Thompson.
On the Democratic side, it is a toss-up in Nevada between Obama and Clinton. Later view more results.

The Process

After looking at the Florida elections website and seeing the process of actually creating and maintain a political party is long and time-consuming. It is probably why few good ones can be made. But this prevents stupid ones from forming too. Hoo-ray.
Still working on other posts.

New Hampshire Recap

A day after the primary and a few things to think about. Is Obama able to get the vote out to older Democrats? Is Clinton the powerhouse that wasn’t in Iowa? Can McCain’s victory get enough momentum? Only time will tell. But in the mean time, Obama looked like to be the winner the day before, but as usual media polls didn’t check out right. So I will never take a political poll seriously again.
McCain seems to be a better candidate for the Rupublicans although his age is my only concern. He could be the oldest President ingurated in U.S. history (Reagan was 69-77 in office). If you considered how long people are living on average now, it may not be a big deal, yet.
Michigan next week, Rays post tomorrow.

No More Predictions!

After reviewing my situation in “predicting” the first two caucuses, I have decided not to make predictions of primaries or elections, more go into analyzing candidates and results. The Wyoming Republican Caucus results intrigued me. Mitt Romney won more than 75% in a state far away from Mass. his presence at Salt Lake Olympics may had something to do with it. Duncan Hunter surprisingly actually got a delegate over the other candidates. His “western frontier” idea may take some hold especially if a major candidate bows down before so (I see Thompson go if down in polls). Fred Thompson may have scared the dickens out the Wyoming’s for votes or love Law & Order. Analysis of the New Hampshire primary on Wednesday.

As for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, not an entirely disappointing loss but was looking good the first quarter. Tonight’s BCS championship game should be won by LSU with a “home field” advantage, SEC spirit, and the defense that wins championships. Go Tigers!

A Rays post maybe tomorrow or Wednesday.

Iowa Caucus Followup, Wyoming?

Well my bold John Edwards prediction didn’t turn out as Obama wins the state by a good margin. His “alternate choice” slogan is what probably sealed his victory. My prediction of Huckabee’s victory and Joe Biden’s departure came out correctly. Ron Paul won one county as his secret “I will be an independent eventually” campaign might steal some votes from the Republican candidate.
In conclusion, Obama win helps him aganist Hillary in New Hampshire. A win for Huckabee gives some presence on the national scene. He could win the south with a South Carolina victory and the mid-west. This should be an interesting four days till New Hampshire.

As for the hidden Wyoming vote I believe huckabee would win with Romney, McCain, and Thompson rounding out the top 4. Ron Paul could sneak in past fourth.

Iowa Caucus starting up.

The first real non-baseball post for this website (which shouldn’t be sports only, I’ll make another site for that.) The democratic race is down to the wire with Hillary, Edwards and Obama vying for a strong start. The other race may be decided for first place. Mike Huckabee seems to have pulled the win and Romney getting a good portion of votes. If Huckabee doesn’t win by a good margin, his chances of the nomination will be very, very slim.
Anyway enough reporting, a more analytical approach. A list of my picks for tonights caucus.

Needs to win- Hillary Clinton, Mike Huckabee
Strong finish- Barack Obama, John McCain
Will drop out- Fred Thompson, Joe Biden
Going to win the state- An upset for John Edwards and a close win for Mike Huckabee.

Yes a John Edwards upset which I believe Iowans would switch over after their canidate is not viable in caucus rules. Mike Huckabee has seem to won the conservative vote of the Midwest.
Reaction tommorrow from theexp. Happy voting.